Tuesday, February 5, 2008

The Wonder Years

Today were the first round of 'layoffs' in the country. Of course the company did not call it that. They preferred to call them 'resignations'. They were just 'asked' to look for jobs else where.
The last few years have been characterized by an excess of jobs. I graduated from a class, where on an average, people had at least two job offers. Believe it!!! because I still can't. We grew up in an atmosphere of optimism. We witnessed the Dot Com boom (we were too busy studying in 2001/2002 to notice the bubble burst.) We witnessed the stock markets march from 2500 in 2003 to dizzying heights of 20,000. We expected pay hikes every year, irrespective of our performance- they were called industry corrections.
These were without doubt, The Wonder Years.
Currently, oil prices at at a record high. Food prices have never been higher. Metals - gold prices -are at their highest ever. There is a massive credit crunch. The full extent of losses from the sub prime mortgage fiasco in the US are yet to be fathomed.
Looks like the worlds biggest customer has run out of credit.
To use Alan Greenspan's words, this is "stagflation", a combination of economic stagnation and inflation. If we have ever had the chance to prove ourself, this would be it. The wonder years are over. We are on the threshold of our first recession . It was the housing boom that saved us when the dot com bubble burst. Who's going to save us now?

2 comments:

Piyush Sethia said...

Great post.. And yes, the slowdown is here, whether we like it or not.. But rather than seeing this as a problem for our economy, I see it as an opportunity.. And as you say it, if we have to prove ourselves, this is the time..

Grab this opportunity.. Make sure that when the world comes out of recession, we are the ones who lead the way.. Fortunately or Unfortunately, our manufacturing sector does not depend on US for its survival, unlike Chinas. This is our chance to establish ourself in that sector, and become a global force.

Nikhil said...

hey man... long time. How u doin?
About the recession, I guess everyones feeling the pinch...
Think its time to start finally hoarding oil !!
Lets keep the fingers crossed ;(